From the above results concluded: (1) the equation and degree high, high, show 0.996 R square meters above the explanatory vibram equation, high reliability. All the parameters estimator is passed inspection, show ㏑ GDP (-1), a significant ㏑ TJ and constant. Can be seen from the value of the equation is DW sequence of random variables does not exist, 2 use of equations amraphel riise method, and inspection heteroscedastic stepwise regression testing more independent from the test of linear. Through the model test not exhibits heteroskedasticity and multiple linear altogether.
Can be obtained by the regression model, the processing trade to boost GDP growth, processing trade each 1 billion yuan, GDP growth will 0.282 billion yuan. Processing trade of GDP is the role of zhejiang province, mainly because the main means to foreign trade, processing trade generally accounted for only two exports into the proportion of the country, and 30% of processing trade with the situation of 1980 to form a large gap, the proportion of foreign trade on processing trade imbalances that promote economic limit.
Three conclusions and Suggestions
The various data and empirical analysis results show that the processing trade of zhejiang economic growth has certain stimulative effect. While the development of processing trade, five fingers shoes and to achieve the trade, trade risk diversification, expanding exports, alleviate employment pressure, has the extremely vital significance. Therefore, it puts forward the further processing trade development vibram shoes Suggestions:
(1) the increase of processing trade promotion, eliminate long enterprise that processing trade industry by two out of foreign control is short of the industrial development of processing trade, and promote prejudice the development of zhejiang province. The government set reasonable public bonded warehouse, to provide convenient and processing goods carried low transaction platform.
(2) general trade, processing trade development, promote driven transformation and upgrading of processing trade. Zhejiang general trade, although in the first, but go still is a low cost, low price, and because of the lack of old brand and technology, these products in the international division of labor, the international market in a low negative situation, face is not only, more difficult trade friction over trade vibram five fingers barriers. Therefore, we should consolidate zhejiang general trade in the meantime, driven by paying more attention to five fingers the general trade, processing trade development of processing trade barriers to trade by crossing, enhance the technical level, the industry upgrad road. At the same time, based on the comparative advantage of general trade, encourage and guide enterprises generally export trade marketing channel advantages, mature processing manufacturing, promote the transformation and upgrading of processing trade, processing trade development characteristic of zhejiang province.