2 processing trade in zhejiang province an empirical analysis of the effect of economic growth
2.1 vibram processing trade value coefficient
Appreciation is the measure of processing trade exchange coefficient of the quality indexes, the value added level of export processing trade coefficient of = of processing trade, import/value to improve performance of the coefficient for processing trade expansion in quality.
Can be seen from table 1, zhejiang processing trade value more than 1, and the coefficients in the early 1990s of more than 1 point to nearly 2 points, the level of zhejiang processing trade exports more than processing trade, processing trade imports in trade surplus. vibram shoes On the whole value coefficient, zhejiang rising trend of processing trade ShunChaE increase gradually, enhanced export force.
Processing trade in zhejiang 2.2 analysis of GDP
Processing trade of the GDP of GDP growth that has a few percent by processing trade, i.e., the contribution to economic growth, import and export processing trade with the contribution of GDP growth between the product. Pull degrees = (train X - train M) GDP growth of GDP, train/result in table 2.
From table 2 can see, in the early 1990s, the processing trade of zhejiang net exports of contribution to GDP growth of negative relationship between. Because the zhejiang in the early 1990s private enterprise to thrive in processing trade, processing equipment imported, such trade import and export, and only in zhejiang processing trade imports from the overall than exports. From the middle of 1990s, quite in zhejiang province, on the basis of the private enterprises in processing trade of some enterprises set up their own production capacity, so five fingers shoes in the mid 1990s, zhejiang processing trade, processing trade surplus began with the national economic growth of import and export of zhejiang province has positive correlation of national economic growth and increasing degrees of pulling, the general trend of rising.
230 processing trade of zhejiang economy growth function of linear regression analysis
Processing trade of GDP in zhejiang pulled on the basis of analysis of the degree, the relevant data, through selecting establish GDP and processing trade import and export volume and GDP lag issue of the econometric model, the empirical analysis. In order to reduce the volatility of the data, better explain the relationship between variables, improve fitting effect, this paper GDP, processing trade imports and exports of trypanblau. Establish binary regression model: a + b = ㏑ five fingers GDP ㏑ GDP (-1) vibram five fingers ㏑ c + + u TJ: ㏑ GDP ㏑ TJ, GDP, processing trade ㏑ export total GDP (-1) - GDP (-1) will be relevant data into SPSS, the output is as follows: ㏑ GDP 1.862 = 0.594 + ㏑ GDP (-1) 0.282 + ㏑ TJ T: (7.585) (8.559) (4.685) 2.107 = = 0.996 DW R2 statistic - 1335.128 = F